Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002255 0.002385 0.002523 0.002682 0.002860 0.003054 0.003283
2025-02-02 0.002057 0.002238 0.002441 0.002687 0.002982 0.003331 0.003783
2025-02-09 0.001957 0.002176 0.002430 0.002755 0.003169 0.003693 0.004436
2025-02-16 0.001857 0.002096 0.002383 0.002764 0.003273 0.003957 0.005008
2025-02-23 0.001811 0.002074 0.002401 0.002850 0.003479 0.004382 0.005909
2025-03-02 0.001724 0.001993 0.002333 0.002813 0.003507 0.004551 0.006449
2025-03-09 0.001638 0.001907 0.002252 0.002746 0.003482 0.004629 0.006847
2025-03-16 0.001606 0.001888 0.002255 0.002797 0.003633 0.005014 0.007957
2025-03-23 0.001574 0.001866 0.002254 0.002838 0.003773 0.005403 0.009260
2025-03-30 0.001523 0.001815 0.002207 0.002809 0.003793 0.005578 0.010148
2025-04-06 0.001461 0.001747 0.002133 0.002732 0.003725 0.005569 0.010543
2025-04-13 0.001417 0.001702 0.002090 0.002698 0.003728 0.005703 0.011439
2025-04-20 0.001334 0.001602 0.001967 0.002540 0.003508 0.005365 0.010755
2025-04-27 0.001308 0.001580 0.001956 0.002556 0.003601 0.005711 0.012653
2025-05-04 0.001298 0.001580 0.001975 0.002622 0.003792 0.006329 0.016491
2025-05-11 0.001273 0.001557 0.001961 0.002631 0.003879 0.006727 0.020255
2025-05-18 0.001267 0.001562 0.001987 0.002709 0.004111 0.007593 0.030638
2025-05-25 0.001234 0.001526 0.001949 0.002676 0.004109 0.007804 0.037033
2025-06-01 0.001197 0.001482 0.001898 0.002615 0.004044 0.007807 0.041277
2025-06-08 0.001187 0.001478 0.001907 0.002662 0.004217 0.008637 0.076886
2025-06-15 0.001175 0.001471 0.001911 0.002699 0.004375 0.009520 0.236533
2025-06-22 0.001150 0.001443 0.001881 0.002672 0.004381 0.009832 1.078418
2025-06-29 0.001118 0.001402 0.001829 0.002602 0.004274 0.009653 2.355488